2026 Q1 -tulosraportti
60 päivää sitten
‧33 min
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.8.
4,60%Tuotto/v
Tarjoustasot
Ei dataa
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q2 -tulosraportti 22.7. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. | ||
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 |
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
Kirjaudu
·10 t sittenWhat is required to defend an Equinor value of 550kr in 2027? If we are to defend a share value of around 550 kroner in Equinor in 2027, the energy market must practically be in a stable mid-cycle where oil and gas are not in surplus, but also not in an extreme supercycle. This implies that Equinor must be able to deliver normalized earnings of approximately 45 to 55 kroner per share, which historically corresponds to a Brent level in the range of 75 to 85 dollar per barrel and a European gas price (TTF) of around 20 to 30 euro per MWh. The crucial question is whether OPEC+ can actually help keep the market in this range. OPEC+ is not a price actor that targets individual stocks, but a cartel structure that primarily optimizes for three things: fiscal balance in key countries like Saudi Arabia, long-term demand preservation in the oil market, and controlled market share against competitors like American shale. IMF and other analyses show that Saudi Arabia's fiscal balance often lies in the range of around 80–90 dollar per barrel, and that this level has moved up and down with government spending and production changes over time. This means that OPEC+ often has an incentive to support a price floor that is approximately in the same range as what is needed to keep large parts of member countries' budgets in balance. At the same time, OPEC+'s power is limited. When prices become too high, typically over 90 to 100 dollar per barrel, the risk of demand reduction, faster electrification, and higher production from non-OPEC actors like USA, Brazil, and Guyana increases. When prices become too low, OPEC+ tightens production, but their ability to control the market is not absolute, especially in a scenario with strong global supply growth. For gas, the picture is similar, but even more volatile. A level of 20 to 30 euro per MWh in TTF presupposes a normalized LNG market where USA, Qatar, and Australia deliver high volumes, and Europe has a good storage situation without structural supply shocks. This is a level that historically has been more typical for a balanced market than for crisis periods. Overall, this means that an Equinor value of 550 kroner in 2027 does not require an energy crisis or supercycle, but a relatively disciplined OPEC+ that manages to balance production against demand in a global market with moderate growth and continued oil and gas dependence. OPEC+ can indirectly support such a level through production management, but they will not guarantee it, as their decisions will always be guided by their own fiscal and strategic considerations. — Kilder * International Monetary Fund (IMF), Regional Economic Outlook / breakeven estimates: https://www.imf.org * IMF breakeven data (historiske estimater via FRED): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAUPZPIOILBEGUSD * KAPSARC analyse av breakeven og OPEC+ dynamikk: https://www.kapsarc.org * Reuters om OPEC+ produksjonsjusteringer og markedsbalanse: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-likely-raise-oil-output-targets-august-again-sources-say-2026-07-01/ * IEA og generelle markedsbalanser (tilbud/etterspørsel): https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report- ·10 t sitten🛢️ Created a Bear case for the oil and gas price in 2027 for you, and what does it mean for Equinor? When the Iran war is over and Hormuz flows freely, fundamental forces take over. Strong non-OPEC production growth from US shale, Brazil, and Guyana sets new records, while China shows clear signs of weaker domestic demand with oil imports dramatically falling to periods down to 6–8 million barrels per day. OPEC+ can defend a price floor by cutting, but they cannot keep the price artificially high over time in a surplus market. Above 90–100 USD, they risk dampening global demand, accelerating the EV transition, and giving shale producers excessively high margins. Saudi Arabia prefers stable, moderate prices around 70–90 USD to secure long-term market share. The gas price becomes as important as the oil price for Equinor in this scenario. With normalized LNG flow, high European inventories, and weak industrial activity, TTF points towards a low and stable level of 10–20 EUR/MWh – far below the super-profit levels from 2022–2023. Increased LNG supply from the USA, Qatar, and Australia reinforces the picture of structurally lower European gas demand. For Equinor, such a bear case means tougher margins on both oil and gas, lower cash flow, and pressure on dividends and buybacks. The company has a solid balance sheet and a low cost base, but the oil and gas business still constitutes the main bulk. The Renewables segment provides some stability, but is currently too small to compensate for a broad fall in revenues. Bottom line: 2027 could be a range-bound year where fundamental forces (supply greater than demand) trump geopolitics. OPEC+ gains more power without war noise, but will have to work harder than in a long time to keep Brent above 70 USD. This is not investment advice, only a summary of central market mechanisms. Sources: • EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/ • Goldman Sachs and bank consensus on 2027 estimates • Data on Chinese oil imports and gas market (Kpler, Vortexa, Reuters, TTF)
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti
60 päivää sitten
‧33 min
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.8.
4,60%Tuotto/v
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
Kirjaudu
- ·10 t sittenWhat is required to defend an Equinor value of 550kr in 2027? If we are to defend a share value of around 550 kroner in Equinor in 2027, the energy market must practically be in a stable mid-cycle where oil and gas are not in surplus, but also not in an extreme supercycle. This implies that Equinor must be able to deliver normalized earnings of approximately 45 to 55 kroner per share, which historically corresponds to a Brent level in the range of 75 to 85 dollar per barrel and a European gas price (TTF) of around 20 to 30 euro per MWh. The crucial question is whether OPEC+ can actually help keep the market in this range. OPEC+ is not a price actor that targets individual stocks, but a cartel structure that primarily optimizes for three things: fiscal balance in key countries like Saudi Arabia, long-term demand preservation in the oil market, and controlled market share against competitors like American shale. IMF and other analyses show that Saudi Arabia's fiscal balance often lies in the range of around 80–90 dollar per barrel, and that this level has moved up and down with government spending and production changes over time. This means that OPEC+ often has an incentive to support a price floor that is approximately in the same range as what is needed to keep large parts of member countries' budgets in balance. At the same time, OPEC+'s power is limited. When prices become too high, typically over 90 to 100 dollar per barrel, the risk of demand reduction, faster electrification, and higher production from non-OPEC actors like USA, Brazil, and Guyana increases. When prices become too low, OPEC+ tightens production, but their ability to control the market is not absolute, especially in a scenario with strong global supply growth. For gas, the picture is similar, but even more volatile. A level of 20 to 30 euro per MWh in TTF presupposes a normalized LNG market where USA, Qatar, and Australia deliver high volumes, and Europe has a good storage situation without structural supply shocks. This is a level that historically has been more typical for a balanced market than for crisis periods. Overall, this means that an Equinor value of 550 kroner in 2027 does not require an energy crisis or supercycle, but a relatively disciplined OPEC+ that manages to balance production against demand in a global market with moderate growth and continued oil and gas dependence. OPEC+ can indirectly support such a level through production management, but they will not guarantee it, as their decisions will always be guided by their own fiscal and strategic considerations. — Kilder * International Monetary Fund (IMF), Regional Economic Outlook / breakeven estimates: https://www.imf.org * IMF breakeven data (historiske estimater via FRED): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAUPZPIOILBEGUSD * KAPSARC analyse av breakeven og OPEC+ dynamikk: https://www.kapsarc.org * Reuters om OPEC+ produksjonsjusteringer og markedsbalanse: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-likely-raise-oil-output-targets-august-again-sources-say-2026-07-01/ * IEA og generelle markedsbalanser (tilbud/etterspørsel): https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report
- ·10 t sitten🛢️ Created a Bear case for the oil and gas price in 2027 for you, and what does it mean for Equinor? When the Iran war is over and Hormuz flows freely, fundamental forces take over. Strong non-OPEC production growth from US shale, Brazil, and Guyana sets new records, while China shows clear signs of weaker domestic demand with oil imports dramatically falling to periods down to 6–8 million barrels per day. OPEC+ can defend a price floor by cutting, but they cannot keep the price artificially high over time in a surplus market. Above 90–100 USD, they risk dampening global demand, accelerating the EV transition, and giving shale producers excessively high margins. Saudi Arabia prefers stable, moderate prices around 70–90 USD to secure long-term market share. The gas price becomes as important as the oil price for Equinor in this scenario. With normalized LNG flow, high European inventories, and weak industrial activity, TTF points towards a low and stable level of 10–20 EUR/MWh – far below the super-profit levels from 2022–2023. Increased LNG supply from the USA, Qatar, and Australia reinforces the picture of structurally lower European gas demand. For Equinor, such a bear case means tougher margins on both oil and gas, lower cash flow, and pressure on dividends and buybacks. The company has a solid balance sheet and a low cost base, but the oil and gas business still constitutes the main bulk. The Renewables segment provides some stability, but is currently too small to compensate for a broad fall in revenues. Bottom line: 2027 could be a range-bound year where fundamental forces (supply greater than demand) trump geopolitics. OPEC+ gains more power without war noise, but will have to work harder than in a long time to keep Brent above 70 USD. This is not investment advice, only a summary of central market mechanisms. Sources: • EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/ • Goldman Sachs and bank consensus on 2027 estimates • Data on Chinese oil imports and gas market (Kpler, Vortexa, Reuters, TTF)
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Ei dataa
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q2 -tulosraportti 22.7. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. | ||
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 |
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti
60 päivää sitten
‧33 min
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q2 -tulosraportti 22.7. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. | ||
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 |
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.8.
4,60%Tuotto/v
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
Kirjaudu
- ·10 t sittenWhat is required to defend an Equinor value of 550kr in 2027? If we are to defend a share value of around 550 kroner in Equinor in 2027, the energy market must practically be in a stable mid-cycle where oil and gas are not in surplus, but also not in an extreme supercycle. This implies that Equinor must be able to deliver normalized earnings of approximately 45 to 55 kroner per share, which historically corresponds to a Brent level in the range of 75 to 85 dollar per barrel and a European gas price (TTF) of around 20 to 30 euro per MWh. The crucial question is whether OPEC+ can actually help keep the market in this range. OPEC+ is not a price actor that targets individual stocks, but a cartel structure that primarily optimizes for three things: fiscal balance in key countries like Saudi Arabia, long-term demand preservation in the oil market, and controlled market share against competitors like American shale. IMF and other analyses show that Saudi Arabia's fiscal balance often lies in the range of around 80–90 dollar per barrel, and that this level has moved up and down with government spending and production changes over time. This means that OPEC+ often has an incentive to support a price floor that is approximately in the same range as what is needed to keep large parts of member countries' budgets in balance. At the same time, OPEC+'s power is limited. When prices become too high, typically over 90 to 100 dollar per barrel, the risk of demand reduction, faster electrification, and higher production from non-OPEC actors like USA, Brazil, and Guyana increases. When prices become too low, OPEC+ tightens production, but their ability to control the market is not absolute, especially in a scenario with strong global supply growth. For gas, the picture is similar, but even more volatile. A level of 20 to 30 euro per MWh in TTF presupposes a normalized LNG market where USA, Qatar, and Australia deliver high volumes, and Europe has a good storage situation without structural supply shocks. This is a level that historically has been more typical for a balanced market than for crisis periods. Overall, this means that an Equinor value of 550 kroner in 2027 does not require an energy crisis or supercycle, but a relatively disciplined OPEC+ that manages to balance production against demand in a global market with moderate growth and continued oil and gas dependence. OPEC+ can indirectly support such a level through production management, but they will not guarantee it, as their decisions will always be guided by their own fiscal and strategic considerations. — Kilder * International Monetary Fund (IMF), Regional Economic Outlook / breakeven estimates: https://www.imf.org * IMF breakeven data (historiske estimater via FRED): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAUPZPIOILBEGUSD * KAPSARC analyse av breakeven og OPEC+ dynamikk: https://www.kapsarc.org * Reuters om OPEC+ produksjonsjusteringer og markedsbalanse: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-likely-raise-oil-output-targets-august-again-sources-say-2026-07-01/ * IEA og generelle markedsbalanser (tilbud/etterspørsel): https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report
- ·10 t sitten🛢️ Created a Bear case for the oil and gas price in 2027 for you, and what does it mean for Equinor? When the Iran war is over and Hormuz flows freely, fundamental forces take over. Strong non-OPEC production growth from US shale, Brazil, and Guyana sets new records, while China shows clear signs of weaker domestic demand with oil imports dramatically falling to periods down to 6–8 million barrels per day. OPEC+ can defend a price floor by cutting, but they cannot keep the price artificially high over time in a surplus market. Above 90–100 USD, they risk dampening global demand, accelerating the EV transition, and giving shale producers excessively high margins. Saudi Arabia prefers stable, moderate prices around 70–90 USD to secure long-term market share. The gas price becomes as important as the oil price for Equinor in this scenario. With normalized LNG flow, high European inventories, and weak industrial activity, TTF points towards a low and stable level of 10–20 EUR/MWh – far below the super-profit levels from 2022–2023. Increased LNG supply from the USA, Qatar, and Australia reinforces the picture of structurally lower European gas demand. For Equinor, such a bear case means tougher margins on both oil and gas, lower cash flow, and pressure on dividends and buybacks. The company has a solid balance sheet and a low cost base, but the oil and gas business still constitutes the main bulk. The Renewables segment provides some stability, but is currently too small to compensate for a broad fall in revenues. Bottom line: 2027 could be a range-bound year where fundamental forces (supply greater than demand) trump geopolitics. OPEC+ gains more power without war noise, but will have to work harder than in a long time to keep Brent above 70 USD. This is not investment advice, only a summary of central market mechanisms. Sources: • EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/ • Goldman Sachs and bank consensus on 2027 estimates • Data on Chinese oil imports and gas market (Kpler, Vortexa, Reuters, TTF)
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Ei dataa
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt