2025 Q4 -tulosraportti
31 päivää sitten
‧1 t 33 min
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.5.
4,83%Tuotto/v
Tarjoustasot
Oslo Børs
Määrä
Osto
-
Myynti
Määrä
-
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 | - | - | ||
| 10 | - | - | ||
| 100 | - | - | ||
| 2 300 | - | - | ||
| 822 | - | - |
Ylin
318,6VWAP
Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
VWAP
Ylin
318,6Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 | ||
2024 Q4 -tulosraportti 5.2.2025 |
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Shareville
Liity keskusteluun SharevillessäShareville on aktiivisten yksityissijoittajien yhteisö, jossa voit seurata muiden asiakkaiden kaupankäyntiä ja omistuksia.
Kirjaudu
·2 min sittenKuwait cuts oil production Kuwait, OPEC's fifth largest producer, is reducing oil and refinery production after the decline in ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg reports. The production cuts are a precautionary measure and come after "Iranian threats against safe passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz," Kuwait Petroleum Corp. states in a statement according to Bloomberg.- ·1 t sitten
·4 t sitten🚢 HORMUZ: When 1.000 ships suddenly become «Chinese» One of the more bizarre consequences of the Hormuz crisis is currently unfolding in real-time on ship tracking data. Around 1.000 vessels are currently trapped inside the Persian Gulf. According to Lloyd's Market Association, the ships have a combined value of around 25 billion dollars. The Revolutionary Guard is not only firing at ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz – but as far north as Kuwait, where an empty tanker was hit by a drone on Wednesday. The result? At least 10 ships have now begun manipulating their transponder signals to display: « Chinese Owner » « All Chinese Crew » « Chinese Crew Onboard » Iran has indicated that they are considering allowing Chinese ships to pass, and the ships hope that a Chinese flag at least provides some protection. A ship named Iron Maiden changed its signal to «China Owner» to get through to the waters outside Oman. Last Saturday, a fuel tanker named Bogazici passed the strait while identifying itself as «Muslim Vsl Turkish». And as if that weren't enough: In addition to pretending to be Chinese, several ships are manipulating their GPS signals so they seemingly are in a completely different location. On the MarineTraffic map, these ships appear in a large cluster – seemingly on top of each other. This is no longer just a military conflict. It is a rewriting of global power geography: 🔴 Iran is practically giving China de facto right of passage through the world's most important energy corridor 🔴 The USA, which has controlled the world's oceans since 1945, is losing its grip on the most strategic sea lane on the globe 🔴 China is gaining strategic influence over Hormuz – without firing a single shot 🔴 Shipping companies from Greece to Japan must choose: flag or freight? Since Monday, March 2, only 9 ships have been registered passing the strait. The oil price is over 90 dollars a barrel. Qatar has closed the world's largest LNG facility for the first time in 30 years. Trump has launched a 20 bn. dollar insurance scheme – but JPMorgan estimates that 352 bn. is actually needed to cover the trapped ships. For my part, I hold Finserve Global Security (defense/security), DNB Nuclear Energy (energy security) and AuAg Silver Bullet (hard asset in chaos). All three have strong logical grounding in what is unfolding. 📚 Sources: • Finansavisen – Avoiding attacks: Pretending to be Chinese (07.03.26): https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/07/8334638/unngar-angrep-later-som-de-er-kinesiske • Finansavisen – China wants to open up Hormuz: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/05/8334271/kina-vil-apne-opp-hormuz • Finansavisen – USA proposes insurance plan, promises 20 bn.: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/06/8334591/usa-foreslar-forsikringsplan-lover-20-mrd. • Adressa/NTB – Only 9 ships registered past Hormuz since Monday: https://www.adressa.no/nyheter/innenriks/i/8pJnOG/analyse-kun-ni-skip-registrert-forbi-hormuzstredet-siden-mandag • E24 – Strait of Hormuz: How the USA can take control: https://e24.no/internasjonal-oekonomi/i/ExQeBA/hormuzstredet-slik-kan-usa-ta-kontrollen #Hormuz #Geopolitics #Oil #Shipping #Investing #China- ·6 t sittenSome have suggested that Russian oil and gas could alleviate the supply crisis that is now building up. In theory, that is true — Russia has capacity. But in practice, this is extremely problematic right now, for several reasons: 1. The infrastructure is dismantled. Europe has spent three years actively phasing out Russian energy — terminals have been rebuilt, contracts have been signed with other suppliers, and pipelines like Nord Stream are physically destroyed. This cannot be reversed in weeks. 2. Politically impossible under current conditions. The war in Ukraine is still ongoing. No European government can politically justify resuming Russian energy imports while Ukrainian cities are being bombed — regardless of how high the oil price is. 3. The Trump factor is ambiguous. Trump could theoretically use the energy crisis as leverage for a Ukraine deal — and thereby open for Russian exports as part of a peace agreement. But even in the best case, this will take months to negotiate and implement. 4. Markets cannot wait. The Strait of Hormuz is closed now. Tankers are being rerouted now. Inventories are being depleted now. A Russian solution is at best six to twelve months away — and that is not the time horizon markets operate with in an acute supply crisis. Conclusion: Russia is not a short-term answer to what is happening in the Persian Gulf.
- ·9 t sitten · Muokattu🛢️ When is it smart to sell energy funds? My exit criteria for BGF World Energy When should one actually sell energy funds? Many investors do it too late in the oil cycle. Here are my own exit criteria. Background I own BGF World Energy Fund from BlackRock as part of a geopolitical investment thesis: a more fragmented world order, increased focus on European energy security, and several years of underinvestment in fossil production can provide a structural tailwind for the energy sector. 🔗 Fund facts https://www.blackrock.com/uk/individual/products/229319/blackrock-world-energy-a2-eur-fund At the same time, all commodity cycles turn sooner or later. Brent over 100 dollar is therefore not necessarily a signal to hold further. It can also be an early warning signal that risk is starting to increase. ⸻ Why very high oil prices can become a problem BGF World Energy is heavily exposed to the major integrated oil companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell, TotalEnergies, and Chevron. These companies are very profitable even with Brent around 50 dollar. When the oil price passes around 100 dollar, however, several mechanisms begin to work against the market: 1. Demand destruction Higher energy prices cause industry and consumers to reduce consumption. 2. Increased supply from producers High prices can provide incentives for increased production from producers and from OPEC countries. 3. Macroeconomic tightening High energy inflation can contribute to interest rate hikes and weaker economic growth. Oil analyst Daan Struyven at Goldman Sachs has pointed out that demand destruction occurs at all price levels, but that it often accelerates when the oil price passes around 100 dollar per fat. 🔗 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/oil-prices-could-reach-100-164500067.html International Energy Agency described a similar pattern in 2023 when oil approached 100 dollar: fear of supply shock was eventually replaced by weaker macro data and signs of falling demand. 🔗 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-12/oil-price-pullback-reflects-demand-destruction-iea-says Historically, energy companies often peak before the oil price itself does, because the stock market tries to price the future. ⸻ My preliminary exit signals This is not a definitive answer, but a simple framework I myself consider using: • Brent 85–95 dollar The structural thesis still seems intact. I initially consider holding. • Brent breaks 100 dollar and stays there I may consider starting a gradual reduction, for example around 25–30 percent of the position. • Brent 110+ with very euphoric market sentiment If analysts and media start competing for ever higher oil price estimates, I will probably consider being significantly reduced in the position. ⸻ Fund-specific assessment BGF World Energy has an annual management fee of around 1,75 prosent. For an active fund with relatively high costs, the timing of exit can be more significant than for a cheap index-ETF. ⸻ The main rule I am not trying to sell because the price is high. I rather consider selling when a high price can mean that the downside risk begins to outweigh the upside, and when the most important drivers behind the investment case may be in the process of being priced in. The peak is always identified in hindsight. A little too early can in some cases be better than sitting through a large drop. ⸻ What is your strategy for energy funds in this cycle? ⸻ These are my own reflections and not investment advice. Always make your own assessments before investments.
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Sharevillen käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti
31 päivää sitten
‧1 t 33 min
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.5.
4,83%Tuotto/v
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Shareville
Liity keskusteluun SharevillessäShareville on aktiivisten yksityissijoittajien yhteisö, jossa voit seurata muiden asiakkaiden kaupankäyntiä ja omistuksia.
Kirjaudu
- ·2 min sittenKuwait cuts oil production Kuwait, OPEC's fifth largest producer, is reducing oil and refinery production after the decline in ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg reports. The production cuts are a precautionary measure and come after "Iranian threats against safe passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz," Kuwait Petroleum Corp. states in a statement according to Bloomberg.
- ·1 t sitten
- ·4 t sitten🚢 HORMUZ: When 1.000 ships suddenly become «Chinese» One of the more bizarre consequences of the Hormuz crisis is currently unfolding in real-time on ship tracking data. Around 1.000 vessels are currently trapped inside the Persian Gulf. According to Lloyd's Market Association, the ships have a combined value of around 25 billion dollars. The Revolutionary Guard is not only firing at ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz – but as far north as Kuwait, where an empty tanker was hit by a drone on Wednesday. The result? At least 10 ships have now begun manipulating their transponder signals to display: « Chinese Owner » « All Chinese Crew » « Chinese Crew Onboard » Iran has indicated that they are considering allowing Chinese ships to pass, and the ships hope that a Chinese flag at least provides some protection. A ship named Iron Maiden changed its signal to «China Owner» to get through to the waters outside Oman. Last Saturday, a fuel tanker named Bogazici passed the strait while identifying itself as «Muslim Vsl Turkish». And as if that weren't enough: In addition to pretending to be Chinese, several ships are manipulating their GPS signals so they seemingly are in a completely different location. On the MarineTraffic map, these ships appear in a large cluster – seemingly on top of each other. This is no longer just a military conflict. It is a rewriting of global power geography: 🔴 Iran is practically giving China de facto right of passage through the world's most important energy corridor 🔴 The USA, which has controlled the world's oceans since 1945, is losing its grip on the most strategic sea lane on the globe 🔴 China is gaining strategic influence over Hormuz – without firing a single shot 🔴 Shipping companies from Greece to Japan must choose: flag or freight? Since Monday, March 2, only 9 ships have been registered passing the strait. The oil price is over 90 dollars a barrel. Qatar has closed the world's largest LNG facility for the first time in 30 years. Trump has launched a 20 bn. dollar insurance scheme – but JPMorgan estimates that 352 bn. is actually needed to cover the trapped ships. For my part, I hold Finserve Global Security (defense/security), DNB Nuclear Energy (energy security) and AuAg Silver Bullet (hard asset in chaos). All three have strong logical grounding in what is unfolding. 📚 Sources: • Finansavisen – Avoiding attacks: Pretending to be Chinese (07.03.26): https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/07/8334638/unngar-angrep-later-som-de-er-kinesiske • Finansavisen – China wants to open up Hormuz: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/05/8334271/kina-vil-apne-opp-hormuz • Finansavisen – USA proposes insurance plan, promises 20 bn.: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/06/8334591/usa-foreslar-forsikringsplan-lover-20-mrd. • Adressa/NTB – Only 9 ships registered past Hormuz since Monday: https://www.adressa.no/nyheter/innenriks/i/8pJnOG/analyse-kun-ni-skip-registrert-forbi-hormuzstredet-siden-mandag • E24 – Strait of Hormuz: How the USA can take control: https://e24.no/internasjonal-oekonomi/i/ExQeBA/hormuzstredet-slik-kan-usa-ta-kontrollen #Hormuz #Geopolitics #Oil #Shipping #Investing #China
- ·6 t sittenSome have suggested that Russian oil and gas could alleviate the supply crisis that is now building up. In theory, that is true — Russia has capacity. But in practice, this is extremely problematic right now, for several reasons: 1. The infrastructure is dismantled. Europe has spent three years actively phasing out Russian energy — terminals have been rebuilt, contracts have been signed with other suppliers, and pipelines like Nord Stream are physically destroyed. This cannot be reversed in weeks. 2. Politically impossible under current conditions. The war in Ukraine is still ongoing. No European government can politically justify resuming Russian energy imports while Ukrainian cities are being bombed — regardless of how high the oil price is. 3. The Trump factor is ambiguous. Trump could theoretically use the energy crisis as leverage for a Ukraine deal — and thereby open for Russian exports as part of a peace agreement. But even in the best case, this will take months to negotiate and implement. 4. Markets cannot wait. The Strait of Hormuz is closed now. Tankers are being rerouted now. Inventories are being depleted now. A Russian solution is at best six to twelve months away — and that is not the time horizon markets operate with in an acute supply crisis. Conclusion: Russia is not a short-term answer to what is happening in the Persian Gulf.
- ·9 t sitten · Muokattu🛢️ When is it smart to sell energy funds? My exit criteria for BGF World Energy When should one actually sell energy funds? Many investors do it too late in the oil cycle. Here are my own exit criteria. Background I own BGF World Energy Fund from BlackRock as part of a geopolitical investment thesis: a more fragmented world order, increased focus on European energy security, and several years of underinvestment in fossil production can provide a structural tailwind for the energy sector. 🔗 Fund facts https://www.blackrock.com/uk/individual/products/229319/blackrock-world-energy-a2-eur-fund At the same time, all commodity cycles turn sooner or later. Brent over 100 dollar is therefore not necessarily a signal to hold further. It can also be an early warning signal that risk is starting to increase. ⸻ Why very high oil prices can become a problem BGF World Energy is heavily exposed to the major integrated oil companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell, TotalEnergies, and Chevron. These companies are very profitable even with Brent around 50 dollar. When the oil price passes around 100 dollar, however, several mechanisms begin to work against the market: 1. Demand destruction Higher energy prices cause industry and consumers to reduce consumption. 2. Increased supply from producers High prices can provide incentives for increased production from producers and from OPEC countries. 3. Macroeconomic tightening High energy inflation can contribute to interest rate hikes and weaker economic growth. Oil analyst Daan Struyven at Goldman Sachs has pointed out that demand destruction occurs at all price levels, but that it often accelerates when the oil price passes around 100 dollar per fat. 🔗 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/oil-prices-could-reach-100-164500067.html International Energy Agency described a similar pattern in 2023 when oil approached 100 dollar: fear of supply shock was eventually replaced by weaker macro data and signs of falling demand. 🔗 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-12/oil-price-pullback-reflects-demand-destruction-iea-says Historically, energy companies often peak before the oil price itself does, because the stock market tries to price the future. ⸻ My preliminary exit signals This is not a definitive answer, but a simple framework I myself consider using: • Brent 85–95 dollar The structural thesis still seems intact. I initially consider holding. • Brent breaks 100 dollar and stays there I may consider starting a gradual reduction, for example around 25–30 percent of the position. • Brent 110+ with very euphoric market sentiment If analysts and media start competing for ever higher oil price estimates, I will probably consider being significantly reduced in the position. ⸻ Fund-specific assessment BGF World Energy has an annual management fee of around 1,75 prosent. For an active fund with relatively high costs, the timing of exit can be more significant than for a cheap index-ETF. ⸻ The main rule I am not trying to sell because the price is high. I rather consider selling when a high price can mean that the downside risk begins to outweigh the upside, and when the most important drivers behind the investment case may be in the process of being priced in. The peak is always identified in hindsight. A little too early can in some cases be better than sitting through a large drop. ⸻ What is your strategy for energy funds in this cycle? ⸻ These are my own reflections and not investment advice. Always make your own assessments before investments.
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Sharevillen käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Oslo Børs
Määrä
Osto
-
Myynti
Määrä
-
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 | - | - | ||
| 10 | - | - | ||
| 100 | - | - | ||
| 2 300 | - | - | ||
| 822 | - | - |
Ylin
318,6VWAP
Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
VWAP
Ylin
318,6Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 | ||
2024 Q4 -tulosraportti 5.2.2025 |
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti
31 päivää sitten
‧1 t 33 min
Uutiset
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: FactSet, Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q1 -tulosraportti 6.5. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2025 Q4 -tulosraportti 4.2. | ||
2025 Q3 -tulosraportti 29.10.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 -tulosraportti 23.7.2025 | ||
2025 Q1 -tulosraportti 30.4.2025 | ||
2024 Q4 -tulosraportti 5.2.2025 |
0,39 USD/osake
Irtoamispäivä 13.5.
4,83%Tuotto/v
Shareville
Liity keskusteluun SharevillessäShareville on aktiivisten yksityissijoittajien yhteisö, jossa voit seurata muiden asiakkaiden kaupankäyntiä ja omistuksia.
Kirjaudu
- ·2 min sittenKuwait cuts oil production Kuwait, OPEC's fifth largest producer, is reducing oil and refinery production after the decline in ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg reports. The production cuts are a precautionary measure and come after "Iranian threats against safe passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz," Kuwait Petroleum Corp. states in a statement according to Bloomberg.
- ·1 t sitten
- ·4 t sitten🚢 HORMUZ: When 1.000 ships suddenly become «Chinese» One of the more bizarre consequences of the Hormuz crisis is currently unfolding in real-time on ship tracking data. Around 1.000 vessels are currently trapped inside the Persian Gulf. According to Lloyd's Market Association, the ships have a combined value of around 25 billion dollars. The Revolutionary Guard is not only firing at ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz – but as far north as Kuwait, where an empty tanker was hit by a drone on Wednesday. The result? At least 10 ships have now begun manipulating their transponder signals to display: « Chinese Owner » « All Chinese Crew » « Chinese Crew Onboard » Iran has indicated that they are considering allowing Chinese ships to pass, and the ships hope that a Chinese flag at least provides some protection. A ship named Iron Maiden changed its signal to «China Owner» to get through to the waters outside Oman. Last Saturday, a fuel tanker named Bogazici passed the strait while identifying itself as «Muslim Vsl Turkish». And as if that weren't enough: In addition to pretending to be Chinese, several ships are manipulating their GPS signals so they seemingly are in a completely different location. On the MarineTraffic map, these ships appear in a large cluster – seemingly on top of each other. This is no longer just a military conflict. It is a rewriting of global power geography: 🔴 Iran is practically giving China de facto right of passage through the world's most important energy corridor 🔴 The USA, which has controlled the world's oceans since 1945, is losing its grip on the most strategic sea lane on the globe 🔴 China is gaining strategic influence over Hormuz – without firing a single shot 🔴 Shipping companies from Greece to Japan must choose: flag or freight? Since Monday, March 2, only 9 ships have been registered passing the strait. The oil price is over 90 dollars a barrel. Qatar has closed the world's largest LNG facility for the first time in 30 years. Trump has launched a 20 bn. dollar insurance scheme – but JPMorgan estimates that 352 bn. is actually needed to cover the trapped ships. For my part, I hold Finserve Global Security (defense/security), DNB Nuclear Energy (energy security) and AuAg Silver Bullet (hard asset in chaos). All three have strong logical grounding in what is unfolding. 📚 Sources: • Finansavisen – Avoiding attacks: Pretending to be Chinese (07.03.26): https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/07/8334638/unngar-angrep-later-som-de-er-kinesiske • Finansavisen – China wants to open up Hormuz: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/05/8334271/kina-vil-apne-opp-hormuz • Finansavisen – USA proposes insurance plan, promises 20 bn.: https://www.finansavisen.no/shipping/2026/03/06/8334591/usa-foreslar-forsikringsplan-lover-20-mrd. • Adressa/NTB – Only 9 ships registered past Hormuz since Monday: https://www.adressa.no/nyheter/innenriks/i/8pJnOG/analyse-kun-ni-skip-registrert-forbi-hormuzstredet-siden-mandag • E24 – Strait of Hormuz: How the USA can take control: https://e24.no/internasjonal-oekonomi/i/ExQeBA/hormuzstredet-slik-kan-usa-ta-kontrollen #Hormuz #Geopolitics #Oil #Shipping #Investing #China
- ·6 t sittenSome have suggested that Russian oil and gas could alleviate the supply crisis that is now building up. In theory, that is true — Russia has capacity. But in practice, this is extremely problematic right now, for several reasons: 1. The infrastructure is dismantled. Europe has spent three years actively phasing out Russian energy — terminals have been rebuilt, contracts have been signed with other suppliers, and pipelines like Nord Stream are physically destroyed. This cannot be reversed in weeks. 2. Politically impossible under current conditions. The war in Ukraine is still ongoing. No European government can politically justify resuming Russian energy imports while Ukrainian cities are being bombed — regardless of how high the oil price is. 3. The Trump factor is ambiguous. Trump could theoretically use the energy crisis as leverage for a Ukraine deal — and thereby open for Russian exports as part of a peace agreement. But even in the best case, this will take months to negotiate and implement. 4. Markets cannot wait. The Strait of Hormuz is closed now. Tankers are being rerouted now. Inventories are being depleted now. A Russian solution is at best six to twelve months away — and that is not the time horizon markets operate with in an acute supply crisis. Conclusion: Russia is not a short-term answer to what is happening in the Persian Gulf.
- ·9 t sitten · Muokattu🛢️ When is it smart to sell energy funds? My exit criteria for BGF World Energy When should one actually sell energy funds? Many investors do it too late in the oil cycle. Here are my own exit criteria. Background I own BGF World Energy Fund from BlackRock as part of a geopolitical investment thesis: a more fragmented world order, increased focus on European energy security, and several years of underinvestment in fossil production can provide a structural tailwind for the energy sector. 🔗 Fund facts https://www.blackrock.com/uk/individual/products/229319/blackrock-world-energy-a2-eur-fund At the same time, all commodity cycles turn sooner or later. Brent over 100 dollar is therefore not necessarily a signal to hold further. It can also be an early warning signal that risk is starting to increase. ⸻ Why very high oil prices can become a problem BGF World Energy is heavily exposed to the major integrated oil companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell, TotalEnergies, and Chevron. These companies are very profitable even with Brent around 50 dollar. When the oil price passes around 100 dollar, however, several mechanisms begin to work against the market: 1. Demand destruction Higher energy prices cause industry and consumers to reduce consumption. 2. Increased supply from producers High prices can provide incentives for increased production from producers and from OPEC countries. 3. Macroeconomic tightening High energy inflation can contribute to interest rate hikes and weaker economic growth. Oil analyst Daan Struyven at Goldman Sachs has pointed out that demand destruction occurs at all price levels, but that it often accelerates when the oil price passes around 100 dollar per fat. 🔗 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/oil-prices-could-reach-100-164500067.html International Energy Agency described a similar pattern in 2023 when oil approached 100 dollar: fear of supply shock was eventually replaced by weaker macro data and signs of falling demand. 🔗 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-12/oil-price-pullback-reflects-demand-destruction-iea-says Historically, energy companies often peak before the oil price itself does, because the stock market tries to price the future. ⸻ My preliminary exit signals This is not a definitive answer, but a simple framework I myself consider using: • Brent 85–95 dollar The structural thesis still seems intact. I initially consider holding. • Brent breaks 100 dollar and stays there I may consider starting a gradual reduction, for example around 25–30 percent of the position. • Brent 110+ with very euphoric market sentiment If analysts and media start competing for ever higher oil price estimates, I will probably consider being significantly reduced in the position. ⸻ Fund-specific assessment BGF World Energy has an annual management fee of around 1,75 prosent. For an active fund with relatively high costs, the timing of exit can be more significant than for a cheap index-ETF. ⸻ The main rule I am not trying to sell because the price is high. I rather consider selling when a high price can mean that the downside risk begins to outweigh the upside, and when the most important drivers behind the investment case may be in the process of being priced in. The peak is always identified in hindsight. A little too early can in some cases be better than sitting through a large drop. ⸻ What is your strategy for energy funds in this cycle? ⸻ These are my own reflections and not investment advice. Always make your own assessments before investments.
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Sharevillen käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Oslo Børs
Määrä
Osto
-
Myynti
Määrä
-
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 | - | - | ||
| 10 | - | - | ||
| 100 | - | - | ||
| 2 300 | - | - | ||
| 822 | - | - |
Ylin
318,6VWAP
Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
VWAP
Ylin
318,6Alin
306,2VaihtoMäärä
2 928 9 399 506
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt