2026 Q2 - tulosraportti
61 päivää sitten
‧56 min
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Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Rahastot ja ETF:t, joilla on osaketta
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q3 - tulosraportti 10.11. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q2 - tulosraportti 12.8. | ||
2026 Q1 - tulosraportti 13.5. | ||
2025 Q4 - tulosraportti 12.2. | ||
2025 Q3 - tulosraportti 11.11.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 - tulosraportti 7.8.2025 |
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
6 t sittenNBIS hit its ATH at $299.86 on June 22. Since then: • Palantir named it its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner • SemiAnalysis moved it up to Platinum in ClusterMAX 3.0 • Q2 revenue $582M, +454% YoY • 4 new deals averaging $1B+ each, priced at $20–25M per MW against a ~$12M base • $40B+ in customer commitments • Contracted power target raised to 5 GW • First secured debt: $775M at SOFR+2.5% • $5.75B raised in converts, 0.50% coupon on the 2030s • Asset-light partner model launched • GPU prices up ~20% on Oct 1 with shorter-term deals increasingly moving towards $40M per MW. • Inferize acquired for Token Factory • New sites in Spain, Estonia, Wales and a 2nd Mäntsälä It has been non-stop execution and good news for this company with no signs of stopping. New ATHs are on the horizon. Long NBIS
It constitutes a limited part of my portfolio, because both the valuation and capital requirement are very demanding. And the large investment need makes it sensible to wait for a better entry
·23 t sittenExplosive growth, but expectations are extreme. Revenue rose 529% in the first half of 2026, and the order backlog has reached 40 bn. $. Analysts expect a full 23 bn. $ in revenue in 2028. It is impressive, but requires flawless execution. Valuation looks attractive based on future figures. With an enterprise value of approx. 74 bn. $, Nebius is traded according to Motley Fool at around 8x expected 2027 revenue. But the company is not yet GAAP-profitable, and the share count has risen 15%. Future revenue growth does not necessarily equal corresponding returns to shareholders. The enormous capital requirement is the overlooked risk. Nebius expects to invest 20-25 bn. $ alone in 2026 in GPUs and data centers. The company has already raised capital through both share issues and debt. This can create significant future earnings, but also increased indebtedness and dilution of existing shareholders. I think, even though there is high risk, that Nebius is one of the most interesting AI infrastructure cases, but I do not uncritically buy Motley Fool's scenario of a ninefold increase towards 2030. That requires both massive earnings growth and a continued high valuation. The decisive factor will not be how fast Nebius can grow, but how much free cash flow the company can generate after the enormous investments and how much of the value ends up with the shareholders. Sources: The Motley Fool, Leo Sun, October 9, 2026. Nebius, Q2 2026 financial report and earnings call, August 12, 2026.
I keep getting stuck on the fact that analysts say it will take 3 years to build out the compute capacity if AI were to stop developing and stay at today's needs. If this is correct, there are great opportunities for Nebius to grow enormously. However, what I think is haunting things now are rising interest rates, energy, and global uncertainty. Hard to see how Q3 won't beat expectations, but we'll see, this will be very exciting.
·2 päivää sittenThe stock is doing terribly because people don't get a damn thing. Min prediction: We hit 350-400 before the new year.NBIS is still expensive based on the revenue the company has actually delivered. Just a matter of time before it drops to 160-170$. Way too heavily priced into the future- ·3 päivää sittenDropping 180 before 400 weak hands outYou are right that everything is about EV, but that is precisely why you need a thesis. EV is probability times outcome, and both must be justified. Without a thesis, "positive EV" is just another word for hope. The professor argument does not hit the mark either. No one claims that a thesis guarantees a return. The point is that it specifies concretely when you are wrong. For Nebius I follow six points every quarter: 1. ARR: $3.0B in June. The guidance is $7-9B at year-end, meaning more than a doubling in half a year. Under $7B and the thesis is weakened. 2. Connected power: The goal is 800 MW-1 GW at year-end. That is the foundation for the 2027 revenues. Clearly under 800 MW without a good explanation is a red flag. 3. EBITDA margin: 41% in Q2, up from 32% in Q1. The goal is around 40%. If the margin falls back while volume grows, the scaling is not profitable. 4. CapEx: $5.7B in Q2 alone, and guidance of $20-25B for the year. Overruns without contract coverage mean dilution risk. 5. Vineland NJ: Critical for the Microsoft contract. Phase 2 was approved in August, so the biggest permitting risk is reduced. Now it is about construction and delivery. 6. Contracts: Contracted power is to increase up to 5 GW. The customer base must move from Meta and Microsoft as anchor customers to a broader base. If they deliver on this, the probability of the upside increases, and EV rises. If several points fail simultaneously, the thesis is broken, and then I sell no matter what the share price has done. That is the difference. You say "make bets with positive EV". I say that you must be able to show how you calculated, and what makes you recalculate. Thesis and EV are not opposites. The thesis is the calculation.
3 päivää sittenIs Burry winning? Why are we dumping so hard I wonder. I was starting to think we were all good, but then shit hits the fan. Probably more panic tomorrow😓
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
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Dataa ei löytynyt
2026 Q2 - tulosraportti
61 päivää sitten
‧56 min
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
- 6 t sittenNBIS hit its ATH at $299.86 on June 22. Since then: • Palantir named it its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner • SemiAnalysis moved it up to Platinum in ClusterMAX 3.0 • Q2 revenue $582M, +454% YoY • 4 new deals averaging $1B+ each, priced at $20–25M per MW against a ~$12M base • $40B+ in customer commitments • Contracted power target raised to 5 GW • First secured debt: $775M at SOFR+2.5% • $5.75B raised in converts, 0.50% coupon on the 2030s • Asset-light partner model launched • GPU prices up ~20% on Oct 1 with shorter-term deals increasingly moving towards $40M per MW. • Inferize acquired for Token Factory • New sites in Spain, Estonia, Wales and a 2nd Mäntsälä It has been non-stop execution and good news for this company with no signs of stopping. New ATHs are on the horizon. Long NBISIt constitutes a limited part of my portfolio, because both the valuation and capital requirement are very demanding. And the large investment need makes it sensible to wait for a better entry
- ·23 t sittenExplosive growth, but expectations are extreme. Revenue rose 529% in the first half of 2026, and the order backlog has reached 40 bn. $. Analysts expect a full 23 bn. $ in revenue in 2028. It is impressive, but requires flawless execution. Valuation looks attractive based on future figures. With an enterprise value of approx. 74 bn. $, Nebius is traded according to Motley Fool at around 8x expected 2027 revenue. But the company is not yet GAAP-profitable, and the share count has risen 15%. Future revenue growth does not necessarily equal corresponding returns to shareholders. The enormous capital requirement is the overlooked risk. Nebius expects to invest 20-25 bn. $ alone in 2026 in GPUs and data centers. The company has already raised capital through both share issues and debt. This can create significant future earnings, but also increased indebtedness and dilution of existing shareholders. I think, even though there is high risk, that Nebius is one of the most interesting AI infrastructure cases, but I do not uncritically buy Motley Fool's scenario of a ninefold increase towards 2030. That requires both massive earnings growth and a continued high valuation. The decisive factor will not be how fast Nebius can grow, but how much free cash flow the company can generate after the enormous investments and how much of the value ends up with the shareholders. Sources: The Motley Fool, Leo Sun, October 9, 2026. Nebius, Q2 2026 financial report and earnings call, August 12, 2026.I keep getting stuck on the fact that analysts say it will take 3 years to build out the compute capacity if AI were to stop developing and stay at today's needs. If this is correct, there are great opportunities for Nebius to grow enormously. However, what I think is haunting things now are rising interest rates, energy, and global uncertainty. Hard to see how Q3 won't beat expectations, but we'll see, this will be very exciting.
- ·2 päivää sittenThe stock is doing terribly because people don't get a damn thing. Min prediction: We hit 350-400 before the new year.NBIS is still expensive based on the revenue the company has actually delivered. Just a matter of time before it drops to 160-170$. Way too heavily priced into the future
- ·3 päivää sittenDropping 180 before 400 weak hands outYou are right that everything is about EV, but that is precisely why you need a thesis. EV is probability times outcome, and both must be justified. Without a thesis, "positive EV" is just another word for hope. The professor argument does not hit the mark either. No one claims that a thesis guarantees a return. The point is that it specifies concretely when you are wrong. For Nebius I follow six points every quarter: 1. ARR: $3.0B in June. The guidance is $7-9B at year-end, meaning more than a doubling in half a year. Under $7B and the thesis is weakened. 2. Connected power: The goal is 800 MW-1 GW at year-end. That is the foundation for the 2027 revenues. Clearly under 800 MW without a good explanation is a red flag. 3. EBITDA margin: 41% in Q2, up from 32% in Q1. The goal is around 40%. If the margin falls back while volume grows, the scaling is not profitable. 4. CapEx: $5.7B in Q2 alone, and guidance of $20-25B for the year. Overruns without contract coverage mean dilution risk. 5. Vineland NJ: Critical for the Microsoft contract. Phase 2 was approved in August, so the biggest permitting risk is reduced. Now it is about construction and delivery. 6. Contracts: Contracted power is to increase up to 5 GW. The customer base must move from Meta and Microsoft as anchor customers to a broader base. If they deliver on this, the probability of the upside increases, and EV rises. If several points fail simultaneously, the thesis is broken, and then I sell no matter what the share price has done. That is the difference. You say "make bets with positive EV". I say that you must be able to show how you calculated, and what makes you recalculate. Thesis and EV are not opposites. The thesis is the calculation.
- 3 päivää sittenIs Burry winning? Why are we dumping so hard I wonder. I was starting to think we were all good, but then shit hits the fan. Probably more panic tomorrow😓
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Määrä
Osto
-
Myynti
Määrä
-
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Rahastot ja ETF:t, joilla on osaketta
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q3 - tulosraportti 10.11. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q2 - tulosraportti 12.8. | ||
2026 Q1 - tulosraportti 13.5. | ||
2025 Q4 - tulosraportti 12.2. | ||
2025 Q3 - tulosraportti 11.11.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 - tulosraportti 7.8.2025 |
Tuotteita joiden kohde-etuutena tämä arvopaperi
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt
2026 Q2 - tulosraportti
61 päivää sitten
‧56 min
Tämän sivun uutiset ja/tai sijoitussuositukset tai otteet niistä sekä niihin liittyvät linkit ovat mainitun tahon tuottamia ja toimittamia. Nordnet ei ole osallistunut materiaalin laatimiseen, eikä ole tarkistanut sen sisältöä tai tehnyt sisältöön muutoksia. Lue lisää sijoitussuosituksista.
Yhtiötapahtumat
Datan lähde: Quartr| Seuraava tapahtuma | |
|---|---|
2026 Q3 - tulosraportti 10.11. |
| Menneet tapahtumat | ||
|---|---|---|
2026 Q2 - tulosraportti 12.8. | ||
2026 Q1 - tulosraportti 13.5. | ||
2025 Q4 - tulosraportti 12.2. | ||
2025 Q3 - tulosraportti 11.11.2025 | ||
2025 Q2 - tulosraportti 7.8.2025 |
Tuotteita joiden kohde-etuutena tämä arvopaperi
Foorumi
Liity keskusteluun Nordnet Socialissa
- 6 t sittenNBIS hit its ATH at $299.86 on June 22. Since then: • Palantir named it its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner • SemiAnalysis moved it up to Platinum in ClusterMAX 3.0 • Q2 revenue $582M, +454% YoY • 4 new deals averaging $1B+ each, priced at $20–25M per MW against a ~$12M base • $40B+ in customer commitments • Contracted power target raised to 5 GW • First secured debt: $775M at SOFR+2.5% • $5.75B raised in converts, 0.50% coupon on the 2030s • Asset-light partner model launched • GPU prices up ~20% on Oct 1 with shorter-term deals increasingly moving towards $40M per MW. • Inferize acquired for Token Factory • New sites in Spain, Estonia, Wales and a 2nd Mäntsälä It has been non-stop execution and good news for this company with no signs of stopping. New ATHs are on the horizon. Long NBISIt constitutes a limited part of my portfolio, because both the valuation and capital requirement are very demanding. And the large investment need makes it sensible to wait for a better entry
- ·23 t sittenExplosive growth, but expectations are extreme. Revenue rose 529% in the first half of 2026, and the order backlog has reached 40 bn. $. Analysts expect a full 23 bn. $ in revenue in 2028. It is impressive, but requires flawless execution. Valuation looks attractive based on future figures. With an enterprise value of approx. 74 bn. $, Nebius is traded according to Motley Fool at around 8x expected 2027 revenue. But the company is not yet GAAP-profitable, and the share count has risen 15%. Future revenue growth does not necessarily equal corresponding returns to shareholders. The enormous capital requirement is the overlooked risk. Nebius expects to invest 20-25 bn. $ alone in 2026 in GPUs and data centers. The company has already raised capital through both share issues and debt. This can create significant future earnings, but also increased indebtedness and dilution of existing shareholders. I think, even though there is high risk, that Nebius is one of the most interesting AI infrastructure cases, but I do not uncritically buy Motley Fool's scenario of a ninefold increase towards 2030. That requires both massive earnings growth and a continued high valuation. The decisive factor will not be how fast Nebius can grow, but how much free cash flow the company can generate after the enormous investments and how much of the value ends up with the shareholders. Sources: The Motley Fool, Leo Sun, October 9, 2026. Nebius, Q2 2026 financial report and earnings call, August 12, 2026.I keep getting stuck on the fact that analysts say it will take 3 years to build out the compute capacity if AI were to stop developing and stay at today's needs. If this is correct, there are great opportunities for Nebius to grow enormously. However, what I think is haunting things now are rising interest rates, energy, and global uncertainty. Hard to see how Q3 won't beat expectations, but we'll see, this will be very exciting.
- ·2 päivää sittenThe stock is doing terribly because people don't get a damn thing. Min prediction: We hit 350-400 before the new year.NBIS is still expensive based on the revenue the company has actually delivered. Just a matter of time before it drops to 160-170$. Way too heavily priced into the future
- ·3 päivää sittenDropping 180 before 400 weak hands outYou are right that everything is about EV, but that is precisely why you need a thesis. EV is probability times outcome, and both must be justified. Without a thesis, "positive EV" is just another word for hope. The professor argument does not hit the mark either. No one claims that a thesis guarantees a return. The point is that it specifies concretely when you are wrong. For Nebius I follow six points every quarter: 1. ARR: $3.0B in June. The guidance is $7-9B at year-end, meaning more than a doubling in half a year. Under $7B and the thesis is weakened. 2. Connected power: The goal is 800 MW-1 GW at year-end. That is the foundation for the 2027 revenues. Clearly under 800 MW without a good explanation is a red flag. 3. EBITDA margin: 41% in Q2, up from 32% in Q1. The goal is around 40%. If the margin falls back while volume grows, the scaling is not profitable. 4. CapEx: $5.7B in Q2 alone, and guidance of $20-25B for the year. Overruns without contract coverage mean dilution risk. 5. Vineland NJ: Critical for the Microsoft contract. Phase 2 was approved in August, so the biggest permitting risk is reduced. Now it is about construction and delivery. 6. Contracts: Contracted power is to increase up to 5 GW. The customer base must move from Meta and Microsoft as anchor customers to a broader base. If they deliver on this, the probability of the upside increases, and EV rises. If several points fail simultaneously, the thesis is broken, and then I sell no matter what the share price has done. That is the difference. You say "make bets with positive EV". I say that you must be able to show how you calculated, and what makes you recalculate. Thesis and EV are not opposites. The thesis is the calculation.
- 3 päivää sittenIs Burry winning? Why are we dumping so hard I wonder. I was starting to think we were all good, but then shit hits the fan. Probably more panic tomorrow😓
Yllä olevat kommentit ovat peräisin Nordnetin sosiaalisen verkoston Nordnet Socialin käyttäjiltä, eikä niitä ole muokattu eikä Nordnet ole tarkastanut niitä etukäteen. Ne eivät tarkoita, että Nordnet tarjoaisi sijoitusneuvoja tai sijoitussuosituksia. Nordnet ei ota vastuuta kommenteista.
Tarjoustasot
Määrä
Osto
-
Myynti
Määrä
-
Viimeisimmät kaupat
| Aika | Hinta | Määrä | Ostaja | Myyjä |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
Huomioi, että vaikka osakkeisiin säästäminen on pitkällä aikavälillä tuottanut hyvin, tulevasta tuotosta ei ole takeita. On olemassa riski, että et saa sijoittamiasi varoja takaisin.
Rahastot ja ETF:t, joilla on osaketta
Asiakkaat katsoivat myös
Välittäjätilasto
Dataa ei löytynyt